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### A.I. Pessimists: Standing Out Among the Critics

Some people think machine intelligence will transform humanity for the better. Others fear it may d…

Some individuals anticipate that artificial intelligence will bring about a positive transformation for humanity, while others harbor concerns about its potential to lead to our downfall. The ultimate decision regarding our destiny remains uncertain.

By Andrew Marantz

A large robotic foot hovers above a figure.

A fresh magazine’s editorial note sets the tone for the future: “The next century is poised to be either incredibly exciting or unimaginably catastrophic.“Illustration by Ege Soyuer


Nestled in a former machinist’s factory in West Berkeley, Katja Grace’s apartment boasts an eclectic charm with its terra-cotta floors and unconventional layout. Despite its rustic ambiance, the space exudes a subtle futuristic vibe with state-of-the-art air purifiers, a sophisticated white machine for RNA testing, and a pantry stocked with nonperishables. These modern elements hint at a future characterized by technological convenience and perpetual vigilance.

As the lead researcher at A.I. Impacts, a nonprofit organization, Grace delves into the intricate realm of A.I. safety, pondering the potential cataclysmic impact of artificial intelligence on the world. With her youthful appearance and penchant for nervous smiles and oversharing, Grace embodies a unique blend of traits. Her apartment, brimming with books, holds a mysterious air, accentuated by titles like “Jewish Divorce Ethics” and “The Death of Death.” Explaining the eclectic collection to a friend, Grace unveils the poignant backstory of the possessions left behind by her landlord’s deceased ex-wife, offering a glimpse into the realm of decisions spared.

Preparing for a dinner gathering, Grace meticulously divides her tasks on a whiteboard, outlining steps like “Chop salad,” “Mix salad,” and “Cook meat.” Her cryptographer friend, Paul Crowley, clad in black attire, joins her in the culinary preparations. Engaging in discussions about the intricacies of artificial intelligence, they reflect on the contrasting ideologies within the A.I. community.

The landscape of A.I. discourse is divided between the doomsayers, known as A.I. safetyists or decelerationists, and the techno-optimists, labeled as effective accelerationists or e/accs. These factions engage in fervent debates, with the pessimists foreseeing existential threats posed by advanced A.I., while the optimists envision a utopian future facilitated by artificial intelligence. Grace’s dinner parties serve as a convergence point for these divergent perspectives, fostering intellectual discourse and introspection on the profound implications of A.I. development.

Amidst conversations revolving around A.I. timelines and the probability of human extinction, guests at Grace’s gatherings navigate complex ethical dilemmas and philosophical quandaries. Delving into the alignment problem, they contemplate the potential risks associated with superintelligent A.I. systems and the imperative of ensuring compatibility with human values.

The narrative unfolds against the backdrop of a vibrant intellectual community in the Bay Area, where individuals grapple with the profound ethical and existential questions surrounding artificial intelligence. From Eliezer Yudkowsky’s pioneering work in A.I. safety to the emergence of rationalist subcultures dedicated to rational discourse and risk mitigation, the story encapsulates the multifaceted landscape of A.I. ethics and innovation.

As the evening progresses, guests engage in spirited debates, reflecting on the moral imperatives of A.I. development and the intricate interplay between technological progress and societal well-being. The convergence of diverse perspectives at Grace’s dinner table underscores the complexity of navigating the ethical terrain of artificial intelligence and its far-reaching implications for humanity.

“Remember when he turns on the light we all panic and run for cover.”

In a whimsical cartoon captioned “Remember, when he turns on the light we all panic and run for cover,” the underlying tension between technological advancement and existential risks is humorously depicted.

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Tags: Last modified: March 11, 2024
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